Thursday, December 31, 2015

$XLE Prediction Continued Downslide


$SPY Predictions


I am Bearish for $SPY for 2016.

$TLT Preditions


Bond prices should be inversely related to the interest rate.  See this link 


12/31/2015 - I am predicting that $TLT will go down.  Some folks for the short term are saying up.  

2016 Predictions

2016 Predictions:



'via Blog this'

$DOW Bear Call Spread


$CRM Bear Call Spread


$NDX Iron Condor



$SPX Iron Condor Play


Positions Held 12/31/15

Open Position Value$813.88
BA=+BA Feb'16 130/135 150/155 Short Iron CondorShort$12.28
GLD=+GLD Feb'16 99/100 105/106 Short Iron CondorShort-$1.44
GME=+GME Feb'16 26/27 30/31 Short Iron CondorShort$1.98
HD=+HD Feb'16 120/125 140/145 Short Iron CondorShort$3.95
IWM=+IWM Feb'16 114/116 Bull CallShort$34.72
QQQ=+QQQ Feb'16 113/116 Bull CallShort$40.00
TGT=+TGT Jan'16 70/75 Bull CallShort$34.50
TLT=+TLT Feb'16 117/118 124/125 Short Iron CondorShort-$1.64
WFM=+WFM Feb'16 32/33 36/37 Short Iron CondorShort-$3.08
NDX=+NDX Feb'16 4985/4990 Bull CallShort$17.40
NDX=+NDX Jan08 '16 4475/4500 4725/4750 Short Iron CondorShort$436.10
RUT=+RUT Feb'16 1220/1230 Bull CallShort$77.77
RUT=+RUT Jan22 '16 1145/1155 Bull CallShort$125.79
RUT=+RUT Jan22 '16 1185/1190 Bull CallShort$76.84
SPX=+SPX Feb'16 1910/1900 Bull PutLong-$25.78
SPX=+SPX Jan22 '16 1870/1860 Bull PutLong-$9.76
SPX=+SPX Jan22 '16 2190/2200 Bull CallShort$4.96
SPX=+SPX Jan29 '16 1890/1880 Bull PutLong-$10.71

Trades for 12/30/15

Daily In$0Realized$40
Open or ClosedLegsDateBuy SellPriceAmount ReceivedRealizedSpread
Close=+RUT 08JAN16 1180.0 C2015-12-30, 15:44:511$1.41-$141.00$204.52Bear Call Spread
Close=+RUT 08JAN16 1185.0 C2015-12-30, 15:44:51-1$0.87$87.00-$172.48Bear Call Spread Leg2
Close=+RUT 08JAN16 1120.0 P2015-12-30, 15:44:51-1$2.91$291.00-$124.48Bull Put Spread
Close=+RUT 08JAN16 1125.0 P2015-12-30, 15:44:511$3.67-$367.00$132.52Bull Put Spread Leg2

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Open Trades 12/29/15

Open Position Value-$832.21
BA=+BA Feb'16 130/135 150/155 Short Iron CondorShort-$25.81
GLD=+GLD Feb'16 99/100 105/106 Short Iron CondorShort$4.42
GME=+GME Feb'16 26/27 30/31 Short Iron CondorShort$2.44
HD=+HD Feb'16 120/125 140/145 Short Iron CondorShort-$0.43
IWM=+IWM Feb'16 114/116 Bull CallShort-$35.04
QQQ=+QQQ Feb'16 113/116 Bull CallShort-$68.00
TGT=+TGT Jan'16 70/75 Bull CallShort-$75.50
TLT=+TLT Feb'16 117/118 124/125 Short Iron CondorShort$0.50
WFM=+WFM Feb'16 32/33 36/37 Short Iron CondorShort$3.02
NDX=+NDX Feb'16 4985/4990 Bull CallShort-$22.41
NDX=+NDX Jan08 '16 4475/4500 4725/4750 Short Iron CondorShort-$448.52
RUT=+RUT Feb'16 1220/1230 Bull CallShort-$52.51
RUT=+RUT Jan08 '16 1120/1125 1180/1185 Short Iron CondorShort-$9.06
RUT=+RUT Jan22 '16 1145/1155 Bull CallShort-$131.22
RUT=+RUT Jan22 '16 1185/1190 Bull CallShort-$64.73
SPX=+SPX Feb'16 1910/1900 Bull PutLong$59.60
SPX=+SPX Jan22 '16 1870/1860 Bull PutLong$14.28
SPX=+SPX Jan22 '16 2190/2200 Bull CallShort-$3.41
SPX=+SPX Jan29 '16 1890/1880 Bull PutLong$20.17

Trades for Yesterday 12/29/15

Daily In$0Realized$72
Open or ClosedLegsDateBuy SellPriceAmount ReceivedRealizedSpread
Close=+SPX 31DEC15 2105.0 C2015-12-29, 09:30:132$0.40-$80.00$119.34Bear Call Spread
Close=+SPX 31DEC15 2110.0 C2015-12-29, 09:30:13-2$0.25$50.00-$101.57Bear Call Spread Leg2
Close=+SPX 31DEC15 2015.0 P2015-12-29, 09:30:13-2$0.55$110.00-$409.75Bull Put Spread
Close=+SPX 31DEC15 2020.0 P2015-12-29, 09:30:132$0.75-$150.00$464.25Bull Put Spread Leg2

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Current Positions 12/29/15

Open Position Value$317.64
BA=+BA Feb'16 130/135 150/155 Short Iron CondorShort-$0.54
GLD=+GLD Feb'16 99/100 105/106 Short Iron CondorShort$4.28
GME=+GME Feb'16 26/27 30/31 Short Iron CondorShort-$2.80
HD=+HD Feb'16 120/125 140/145 Short Iron CondorShort$11.92
IWM=+IWM Feb'16 114/116 Bull CallShort$11.36
QQQ=+QQQ Feb'16 113/116 Bull CallShort-$1.00
TGT=+TGT Jan'16 70/75 Bull CallShort$14.50
TLT=+TLT Feb'16 117/118 124/125 Short Iron CondorShort$1.00
WFM=+WFM Feb'16 32/33 36/37 Short Iron CondorShort$6.94
NDX=+NDX Feb'16 4985/4990 Bull CallShort$3.79
NDX=+NDX Jan08 '16 4475/4500 4725/4750 Short Iron CondorShort$89.72
RUT=+RUT Feb'16 1220/1230 Bull CallShort$11.08
RUT=+RUT Jan08 '16 1120/1125 1180/1185 Short Iron CondorShort$23.76
RUT=+RUT Jan22 '16 1145/1155 Bull CallShort$28.92
RUT=+RUT Jan22 '16 1185/1190 Bull CallShort$24.79
SPX=+SPX Dec31 2015/2020 2105/2110 Iron CondorLong$54.84
SPX=+SPX Feb'16 1910/1900 Bull PutLong$5.53
SPX=+SPX Jan22 '16 1870/1860 Bull PutLong$20.67
SPX=+SPX Jan22 '16 2190/2200 Bull CallShort$1.79
SPX=+SPX Jan29 '16 1890/1880 Bull PutLong$7.09

Trades for 12/29/15

Daily In$400Realized$46
Open or ClosedLegsDateBuy SellPriceAmount ReceivedRealizedSpread
Close=+NDX 29JAN16 4875.0 C2015-12-28, 10:55:531$4.60-$460.00$297.82Bear Call Spread
Close=+NDX 29JAN16 4900.0 C2015-12-28, 10:55:53-1$3.10$310.00-$252.18Bear Call Spread Leg2
Open=+SPX 19FEB16 1900.0 P2015-12-28, 09:31:052$15.45-$3,090.00$0.00Bull Put Spread
Open=+SPX 19FEB16 1910.0 P2015-12-28, 09:31:05-2$16.70$3,340.00$0.00Bull Put Spread Leg2
Open=+SPX 22JAN16 1860.0 P2015-12-28, 10:02:532$3.35-$670.00$0.00Bull Put Spread
Open=+SPX 22JAN16 1870.0 P2015-12-28, 10:02:53-2$3.75$750.00$0.00Bull Put Spread Leg2
Open=+SPX 29JAN16 1880.0 P2015-12-28, 10:02:151$6.60-$660.00$0.00Bull Put Spread
Open=+SPX 29JAN16 1890.0 P2015-12-28, 10:02:15-1$7.30$730.00$0.00Bull Put Spread Leg2