Wednesday, November 11, 2020

Shorting CCL in the Morning



Finviz

Carnival Corporation & Plc operates as a leisure travel company. The

company's ships visit approximately 700 ports under the Carnival Cruise

Line, Princess Cruises, Holland America Line, Seabourn, P&O Cruises

(Australia), Costa Cruises, AIDA Cruises, P&O Cruises (UK), and Cunard

brand names. It also provides vacations to various cruise destinations, as

well as owns and operates hotels, lodges, glass-domed railcars, and motor

coaches. The company sells its cruises primarily through travel agents and

tour operators. It operates in the United States, Canada, Continental

Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and

internationally. As of January 28, 2020, the company operated 105 ships

with 254,000 lower berths. Carnival Corporation & Plc was incorporated in

1972 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida.


Some Quick Observations


Basic



Optionable

Yes

I do credit spreads sometimes

Shortable

Yes

I play both sides of the market

Share Price > $5

16.21

No Penny Stocks

Market Cap

14.62B

Must be greater than 300M. We want no Penny Stocks



Valuation



Profitability - Past 5 yrs

-

PE Positive

Profitability Q/Q

-

PE Positive

Sales Growth past 5 yrs

5.60%

10% growth the last 5 years

Projected Sales Growth 5 yrs

-99.50%


EPS

-10.28

A negative EPS tells you exactly how much money the company lost per share of outstanding stock, which is why you'll also see it called "net loss per share." If a company with 100 million shares loses $16 million, then its EPS is negative 16 cents.

Book Value per share

25.17



Financial



Debt to Equity

1.28

A good debt to equity ratio is around 1 to 1.5.

Current Ratio

0.9

a current ratio of 1.5 or above is considered healthy, while a ratio of 1 or below suggests the company would struggle to pay its liabilities and might go bankrupt

Quick Ratio

0.9

A result of 1 is considered to be the normal quick ratio. ... A company that has a quick ratio of less than 1 may not be able to fully pay off its current liabilities in the short term, while a company having a quick ratio higher than 1 can instantly get rid of its current liabilities



Buy it?



Current Price

16.21


Target Price

16.38

Produced by Analysts

Bargain

0.17

A positive number indicates trading under Target Price

Graham Number


Negative number is a good value

Analysts Ranking

2.9

1=Buy 5=Sell

Earning

Oct 08 BMO

Next Earning Date









Take some action!

CCL

Carnival Corp

Expected Profit

Direction

Open Short

Date Opened

11/11/2020



-$36.00

Price Opened

$16.20

Expected Loss

Target Price

$15.71

Stop Loss

$16.61

Number of Shares Purchased

74

-$30.00




Backtest Model for Risk Management

Profit

3.00%

Stop Loss

2.50%

Risk Amount

$1,200.00

Base Amount

$5,000.00





Backtest Action: Not all trades taken




Win Loss %

66.67%

$297.54

Trade

Date

Price

Contracts

# bars

% chg

Profit

Long (profit)

1/3/2019

47.37

12

2

5.66%

32.16

Long (profit)

1/7/2019

50.64

11

4

3.26%

18.15

Short (profit)

2/22/2019

58.82

10

7

-3.84%

22.6

Long (profit)

4/1/2019

52.19

11

12

5.00%

28.71

Short (profit)

5/3/2019

55.18

10

7

-4.35%

24

Short (profit)

9/17/2019

49.37

12

5

-3.38%

20.04

Long (profit)

10/10/2019

40.95

14

4

3.76%

21.56

Short (profit)

1/22/2020

49.88

12

3

-4.73%

28.32

Long (max loss)

3/11/2020

21.75

27

2

-31.17%

-183.06

Long (max loss)

3/16/2020

14.57

41

2

-12.77%

-76.26

Long (profit)

3/20/2020

12

50

3

14.00%

84

Long (profit)

3/25/2020

15.55

38

2

14.60%

86.26

Long (profit)

4/6/2020

10.21

58

2

10.68%

63.22

Short (max loss)

5/1/2020

13.93

43

2

2.94%

-17.63

Short (max loss)

5/29/2020

15.74

38

2

6.73%

-40.28

Short (profit)

6/10/2020

20.59

29

2

-15.30%

91.35

Short (profit)

6/12/2020

19.98

30

4

-4.45%

26.7

Short (profit)

9/9/2020

17.66

33

5

-9.80%

57.09

Long (profit)

9/28/2020

15.31

39

8

4.44%

26.52

Long (max loss)

10/30/2020

13.71

43

4

-2.70%

-15.91

Open Short

11/11/2020

16.2

37

2

0.00%

0


































































To be a successful trader - you need to understand what you're buying or selling, be able to do your own research, and formulate your own opinions and decisions! This my research and my opinion - not a recommendation .  Please do your own research as well.

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